Duke vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 12

Published 12:48 am Monday, November 11, 2024

Tuesday’s contest between the No. 7 Duke Blue Devils (2-0) and No. 23 Kentucky Wildcats (2-0) at State Farm Arena should be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 82-81, with Duke securing the victory. Game time is at 9:00 PM ET on November 12.

According to our computer prediction, Kentucky should cover the spread, which is listed at 6.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the over/under.

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Duke vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, November 12, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena
  • Line: Duke -6.5

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Duke vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Duke 82, Kentucky 81

Spread & Total Prediction for Duke vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+6.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 163.3

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Duke Performance Insights

  • Duke was 59th in the nation in points scored (78.6 per game) and 28th in points allowed (66.3) last season.
  • On the glass, the Blue Devils were 101st in the nation in rebounds (33.5 per game) last year. They were 35th in rebounds conceded (29.1 per game).
  • Duke was 50th in college basketball in assists (15.3 per game) last year.
  • The Blue Devils were 87th in college basketball in 3-pointers made (8.3 per game) and 14th-best in 3-point percentage (37.7%) last year.
  • Giving up 6.3 3-pointers per game and conceding 31.8% from downtown last season, Duke was 44th and 69th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.
  • The Blue Devils took 37.5% percent of their shots from beyond the arc last season, and 29.7% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they took 62.5% of their shots, with 70.3% of their makes coming from there.

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • Because of Kentucky’s defensive struggles last season, ranking 15th-worst in college basketball with 79.7 points allowed per game, it had to rely on its offense, which ranked second-best in college basketball tallying 89.0 points per game.
  • The Wildcats were 67th in the country with 34.3 boards per game. Meanwhile, they ranked 280th with 33.3 rebounds allowed per game.
  • Kentucky tallied plenty of assists last season, ranking 13th-best in the nation with 17.5 per contest.
  • With 10.4 turnovers per game, the Wildcats ranked 96th in the country. They forced 11.4 turnovers per contest, which ranked 157th in college basketball.
  • The Wildcats thrived in terms of three-point shooting, as they ranked 16th-best in college basketball in treys (9.9 per game) and best in shooting percentage from beyond the arc (40.9%).
  • Kentucky gave up 8.6 threes per game (319th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing a 33.2% three-point percentage (151st-ranked).
  • When it comes to shot breakdown, Kentucky took 62.5% two-pointers (accounting for 69% of the team’s baskets) and 37.5% threes (31%).

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