Gonzaga vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 7

Published 5:48 pm Friday, December 6, 2024

Saturday’s contest at Climate Pledge Arena has the No. 7 Gonzaga Bulldogs (7-1) squaring off against the No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats (7-1) at 10:00 PM ET (on December 7). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 80-78 victory for Gonzaga, so expect a tight matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup versus Gonzaga. The over/under has been set at 163.5, and the two teams are projected to go under that total.

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Gonzaga vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, December 7, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Seattle, Washington
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
  • Line: Gonzaga -5.5
  • Point total: 163.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Gonzaga -250, Kentucky +202

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Gonzaga vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Gonzaga 80, Kentucky 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Gonzaga vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+5.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (163.5)

Gonzaga’s record against the spread so far this season is 6-2-0, while Kentucky’s is 4-4-0. The Bulldogs have gone over the point total in six games, while Wildcats games have gone over five times. The two teams score 183.3 points per game, 19.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Gonzaga Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 24.3 points per game (scoring 90.4 points per game to rank fourth in college basketball while giving up 66.1 per contest to rank 74th in college basketball) and have a +194 scoring differential overall.
  • The 37.0 rebounds per game Gonzaga averages rank 44th in the nation, and are 9.7 more than the 27.3 its opponents pull down per contest.
  • Gonzaga hits 8.0 three-pointers per game (171st in college basketball), 2.2 more than its opponents (5.8). It is shooting 35.4% from beyond the arc (111th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 24.5%.
  • The Bulldogs put up 112.0 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball), while giving up 81.9 points per 100 possessions (35th in college basketball).
  • Gonzaga has committed 3.2 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.3 (27th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.5 (165th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats have a +196 scoring differential, topping opponents by 24.5 points per game. They’re putting up 92.9 points per game, first in college basketball, and are giving up 68.4 per outing to rank 121st in college basketball.
  • The 40.0 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank fifth in the nation, 6.4 more than the 33.6 its opponents grab.
  • Kentucky knocks down 10.6 three-pointers per game (22nd in college basketball) while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc (77th in college basketball). It is making 4.0 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.6 per game at 25.9%.
  • Kentucky wins the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 10.0 (62nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.1.

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