Texas vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 15
Published 1:49 pm Friday, February 14, 2025
Saturday’s contest at Moody Center has the No. 15 Kentucky Wildcats (17-7, 6-5 SEC) taking on the Texas Longhorns (15-10, 4-8 SEC) at 8:00 PM ET (on February 15). Our computer prediction projects a close 79-76 win for Kentucky, so expect a tight matchup.
According to our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the point spread (1.5) against Texas. The two sides are expected to go under the 157.5 total.
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Texas vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Austin, Texas
- Venue: Moody Center
- Line: Texas -1.5
- Point total: 157.5
- Moneyline (to win): Texas -128, Kentucky +106
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Texas vs. Kentucky Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Kentucky 79, Texas 76
Spread & Total Prediction for Texas vs. Kentucky
- Pick ATS: Kentucky (+1.5)
- Pick OU: Under (157.5)
Texas has a 13-12-0 record against the spread this season compared to Kentucky, who is 12-12-0 ATS. The Longhorns have a 15-10-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 13-11-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 164.9 points per game, 7.4 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Texas has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall. Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 matches.
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Texas Performance Insights
- The Longhorns have a +241 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.7 points per game. They’re putting up 78.6 points per game to rank 75th in college basketball and are giving up 68.9 per contest to rank 89th in college basketball.
- Texas ranks 151st in the nation at 32.6 rebounds per game. That’s 2.0 more than the 30.6 its opponents average.
- Texas hits 7.7 three-pointers per game (176th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.0 on average.
- The Longhorns rank 37th in college basketball by averaging 102.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 122nd in college basketball, allowing 90.3 points per 100 possessions.
- Texas wins the turnover battle by 2.2 per game, committing 9.1 (14th in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.3.
Kentucky Performance Insights
- The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 10.3 points per game, with a +245 scoring differential overall. They put up 86.3 points per game (third in college basketball) and allow 76.0 per outing (297th in college basketball).
- Kentucky ranks 40th in college basketball at 35.3 rebounds per game. That’s 3.5 more than the 31.8 its opponents average.
- Kentucky knocks down 10.2 three-pointers per game (21st in college basketball) at a 38.4% rate (16th in college basketball), compared to the 8.3 per game its opponents make, at a 29.6% rate.
- Kentucky forces 9.2 turnovers per game (345th in college basketball) while committing 9.7 (40th in college basketball).
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